Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 12.435678 15.170758 18.215879 21.836431 26.001820 30.621851 36.110726
2026-01-25 8.259460 11.672876 15.902655 21.437426 28.389817 36.731881 47.387033
2026-02-01 6.173659 9.828084 14.753839 21.679197 30.944775 42.683329 58.420337
2026-02-08 4.618041 8.215554 13.449988 21.286584 32.346048 46.997337 67.416798
2026-02-15 3.465578 6.872827 12.205421 20.664403 33.185370 50.431643 75.278371
2026-02-22 2.874777 6.262314 11.900608 21.278090 35.696964 56.171240 86.430190
2026-03-01 2.253966 5.437017 11.092627 20.969644 36.750540 59.844428 94.834602
2026-03-08 1.823829 4.850328 10.566313 21.001749 38.253344 64.173303 104.296993
2026-03-15 1.372379 4.088649 9.586780 20.128177 38.208649 66.144607 110.372861
2026-03-22 1.173610 3.822658 9.477170 20.722085 40.536369 71.775433 122.033377
2026-03-29 0.981439 3.514201 9.226914 21.017034 42.358753 76.682250 132.775053
2026-04-05 0.826036 3.250056 9.018647 21.351733 44.245715 81.749578 143.927060
2026-04-12 0.698165 3.036033 8.917585 21.950316 46.759008 88.144387 157.728944
2026-04-19 0.533620 2.646103 8.350975 21.567510 47.511031 91.748692 167.390790
2026-04-26 0.433148 2.416096 8.111199 21.811722 49.401360 97.300666 180.333034
2026-05-03 0.327459 2.107868 7.605911 21.417305 50.044156 100.752494 189.995483
2026-05-10 0.238429 1.804180 7.035668 20.792111 50.170542 103.290999 198.226042
2026-05-17 0.200950 1.706084 7.014749 21.408777 52.761728 110.218683 213.931175
2026-05-24 0.149967 1.499041 6.623188 21.098836 53.461142 113.816720 224.177045
2026-05-31 0.116193 1.355113 6.387863 21.131097 54.847698 118.686786 236.714021
2026-06-07 0.077634 1.130921 5.823216 20.253267 54.252668 119.905271 243.029232
2026-06-14 0.064571 1.076051 5.828674 20.850074 56.833942 127.073971 259.831840
2026-06-21 0.050947 0.997524 5.727055 21.146457 58.775278 133.114462 274.836541